# Stool DNA screening's ten-year follow-up gap

> A large retrospective programme found strong colonoscopy yields after positive multi-target stool DNA tests, but many people did not complete the next step on time or repeat a negative test as scheduled.

_Source: The American Journal of Gastroenterology retrospective multi-site screening cohort, verified against PubMed PMID 42690929 and Telegram post 1486 · 2026-09-15 · 6 min read · Verified against primary sources_

Canonical: https://iyu.app/e/mt-sdna-ten-year-screening-follow-up

## The 60-second version

A decade of real-world data found strong lesion detection after positive multi-target stool DNA tests, but large gaps in timely colonoscopy and repeat screening.

**Key points**

- The retrospective cohort included 148,624 tests from 110,410 people, with a 13.6% positivity rate.
- Among positive tests, 65.1% led to colonoscopy within 12 months; advanced adenoma was reported in 30.7% and adenocarcinoma in 1.3% of follow-up colonoscopies.
- Only 35.3% of people with a negative test repeated stool DNA screening within three years.
- The study measured one multi-site programme and did not prove that the test reduces mortality or that delay caused later findings.

**Verdict.** The weak point was not only test accuracy but follow-through: positive results need timely diagnostic colonoscopy, and negative results still need scheduled rescreening.

## Full explainer

> **⚑ Caveat:** The paper is a retrospective analysis of one multi-site health system. Its results describe screening performance and follow-up in that programme; they do not prove that stool DNA testing reduces mortality or that the same numbers apply everywhere.


### The finding — The test worked best when the pathway continued

Multi-target stool DNA testing is designed to find signals associated with colorectal cancer and precancerous lesions without an initial procedure. The study followed the programme's results for a decade, but its central lesson is about what happens after the result arrives: screening has value only when the next step is completed.

- **148,624** — tests analysed
- **13.6%** — positive tests
- **65.1%** — positive tests followed by colonoscopy within 12 months


### After a positive result — Colonoscopy found important lesions

The cohort included 19,506 positive tests. Among these, 65.1% were followed by colonoscopy within 12 months; the median wait was 82 days. In the resulting colonoscopies, advanced adenomas were diagnosed in 30.7% and adenocarcinoma in 1.3%. Those are findings among people who proceeded to colonoscopy, not a guarantee about any individual result.

- **Measure:** What the study reported
- **Advanced adenoma after a positive test:** 30.7% of follow-up colonoscopies
- **Adenocarcinoma after a positive test:** 1.3% of follow-up colonoscopies
- **Repeat testing after a negative test:** 35.3% completed another stool DNA test within 3 years


### The missing link — A negative result still has a timetable

Only 35.3% of people with an initial negative result had another stool DNA test within three years. Among the smaller group who underwent colonoscopy within three years of a negative test, 45.2% had an adenoma or serrated lesion, 9.3% had an advanced adenoma, and 0.5% had colon cancer. Because this was a selected subgroup, these numbers cannot be treated as the test's population-wide false-negative rate.

> **⚑ Caveat:** Do not turn these programme statistics into a personal diagnosis. A positive stool DNA result generally needs the follow-up recommended by a clinician; a negative result does not mean screening is finished. The appropriate interval depends on the test, age, risk, symptoms, and local guidance.


### How to read it — This is a care-cascade study, not a survival trial

The researchers used retrospective records from September 2014 to July 2025 in a multi-site health system. A validated large-language-model pipeline extracted colonoscopy, pathology, and quality endpoints from free-text reports. The analysis found that adenoma detection after positive tests exceeded 50% and that waits longer than six months were associated with more advanced adenoma, with a trend P value of 0.001. Association is not proof that delay caused the finding, and the programme may differ from other health systems.

> A screening test is not a single event. It is a chain: test, result, follow-up, and the next scheduled screen.


### The practical takeaway — Make the handoff impossible to miss

The authors point to system-level tracking and reminders as the next opportunity. For readers, the useful question is not whether one test is good or bad in isolation, but whether a positive result has a documented follow-up plan and whether a negative result has a date for the next screen. That is how a convenient test can become a complete screening pathway.


## Primary sources

- [Telegram source post 1486](https://t.me/CNSmydream/1486)
- [Original paper DOI](https://doi.org/10.14309/ajg.0000000000004196)
- [PubMed record PMID 42690929](https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/42690929/)
- [NCBI PubMed abstract endpoint](https://eutils.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/eutils/efetch.fcgi?db=pubmed&id=42690929&retmode=xml)

---
_Published by iyu (https://iyu.app) — the day's AI news, checked against primary sources and rewritten in plain language. Free to quote with attribution and a link to the canonical URL._
